Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033032 0.036016 0.039016 0.042249 0.045632 0.049060 0.052790
2026-01-11 0.028716 0.033177 0.037800 0.042928 0.048433 0.054145 0.060500
2026-01-18 0.025272 0.030807 0.036708 0.043413 0.050772 0.058556 0.067366
2026-01-25 0.021176 0.027319 0.034060 0.041909 0.050705 0.060177 0.071068
2026-02-01 0.018415 0.025054 0.032535 0.041435 0.051589 0.062686 0.075611
2026-02-08 0.016271 0.023299 0.031420 0.041270 0.052689 0.065331 0.080216
2026-02-15 0.015173 0.022678 0.031530 0.042435 0.055236 0.069548 0.086536
2026-02-22 0.014091 0.021974 0.031461 0.043323 0.057407 0.073297 0.092299
2026-03-01 0.012936 0.021082 0.031088 0.043783 0.059027 0.076375 0.097267
2026-03-08 0.011789 0.020109 0.030543 0.043976 0.060284 0.078996 0.101680
2026-03-15 0.011116 0.019708 0.030672 0.044955 0.062446 0.082650 0.107269
2026-03-22 0.009785 0.018315 0.029465 0.044222 0.062503 0.083800 0.109927
2026-03-29 0.008900 0.017505 0.028995 0.044414 0.063705 0.086340 0.114264
2026-04-05 0.008267 0.017010 0.028909 0.045071 0.065464 0.089538 0.119376
2026-04-12 0.007622 0.016449 0.028702 0.045550 0.066988 0.092449 0.124151
2026-04-19 0.006351 0.014827 0.026972 0.043994 0.065935 0.092230 0.125197
2026-04-26 0.005546 0.013857 0.026090 0.043501 0.066176 0.093544 0.128041
2026-05-03 0.004912 0.013106 0.025474 0.043330 0.066797 0.095302 0.131400
2026-05-10 0.004710 0.013071 0.025882 0.044527 0.069160 0.099188 0.137314
2026-05-17 0.004447 0.012907 0.026086 0.045438 0.071152 0.102618 0.142682
2026-05-24 0.004093 0.012547 0.025978 0.045910 0.072569 0.105335 0.147189
2026-05-31 0.003702 0.012079 0.025685 0.046109 0.073620 0.107592 0.151135
2026-06-07 0.003524 0.012001 0.025977 0.047115 0.075718 0.111148 0.156659